Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 4.650225 5.291076 5.996457 6.831838 7.795943 8.875755 10.179695
2025-04-20 3.863249 4.715578 5.728004 7.024493 8.648143 10.623978 13.225287
2025-04-27 3.366767 4.326207 5.531540 7.167535 9.346372 12.170860 16.146170
2025-05-04 3.060526 4.101567 5.471060 7.421826 10.157237 13.897886 19.471717
2025-05-11 2.681127 3.719412 5.138166 7.241870 10.321809 14.727971 21.620506
2025-05-18 2.403176 3.437469 4.899319 7.146227 10.566237 15.663321 23.999194
2025-05-25 2.178725 3.203531 4.696842 7.068282 10.808425 16.596493 26.460636
2025-06-01 1.978399 2.982411 4.486458 6.947118 10.956483 17.380349 28.754997
2025-06-08 1.800036 2.776090 4.275801 6.797580 11.032343 18.040135 30.901525
2025-06-15 1.737656 2.743466 4.329841 7.074244 11.829904 19.970435 35.485733
2025-06-22 1.639583 2.643698 4.265109 7.143143 12.274732 21.334331 39.211082
2025-06-29 1.530305 2.515486 4.141027 7.095497 12.504280 22.331365 42.361991
2025-07-06 1.423773 2.384778 4.004248 7.016894 12.677613 23.259089 45.535794
2025-07-13 1.374465 2.347991 4.025327 7.223045 13.399446 25.299549 51.233945
2025-07-20 1.320099 2.297334 4.016645 7.371402 14.023337 27.215803 56.939041
2025-07-27 1.286461 2.280604 4.066616 7.633718 14.896196 29.727658 64.295001
2025-08-03 1.194281 2.149380 3.894814 7.448161 14.841832 30.311341 67.395372
2025-08-10 1.121611 2.049004 3.772793 7.349542 14.955575 31.260773 71.473590
2025-08-17 1.057352 1.959767 3.664931 7.269174 15.098119 32.285399 75.874780
2025-08-24 0.993166 1.866027 3.541096 7.144247 15.129966 33.063056 79.775490
2025-08-31 0.930883 1.771663 3.409011 6.990074 15.080541 33.646647 83.265136
2025-09-07 0.919700 1.777829 3.478920 7.275321 16.055196 36.744492 93.810030
2025-09-14 0.887130 1.738408 3.452436 7.346362 16.539761 38.718839 101.639249